Championship · Matchday 6 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth prediction
Best picks
Over 2.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Wolverhampton win
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Wolverhampton or draw77%
Either side wins77%
Draw or Portsmouth47%
Goal lines
Over 1.583%
Over 2.561%
Over 3.539%
Under: 1.5 17% · 2.5 39% · 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
No39%
Most likely score
1–1at 11%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Wolverhampton | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 21st |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 2.8 | Goals / game | 1.3 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 18th |
| 24th | Defence rank | 22nd |
| 1509 | Elo | 1466 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Recent form · last 10
Wolverhampton10 / 30 pts
Portsmouth16 / 30 pts
- LPortsmouth0–2Derby County
- L
Bristol City2–1Portsmouth - W
Lincoln City1–3Portsmouth - LPortsmouth1–3QPR
- DPortsmouth1–1Birmingham
- W
Stoke1–3Portsmouth - L
Coventry City5–1Portsmouth - WPortsmouth1–0Leicester City FC
- WPortsmouth2–0Ipswich Town
- W
Middlesbrough0–1Portsmouth
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 |  West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 |  Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 |  Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Model verdict
Our model makes Wolverhampton clear favourites at 53%. Wolverhampton arrive with 2 wins, 4 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10. For Portsmouth it reads 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats over the last 10. At home Wolverhampton have won 1 of their last 5; Portsmouth have taken 9 of 15 points on their travels. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 61%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?
Our model's most likely outcome is Wolverhampton win, with probabilities of 53% for a Wolverhampton win, 23% for a draw and 23% for an Portsmouth win.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Wolverhampton or draw 77%, draw or Portsmouth 47%, and either side to win 77%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth kick off?
Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth is scheduled for Wed 9 Sept; the exact kick-off time has not been confirmed yet.
Where is Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth being played?
The match is scheduled for Molineux Stadium, the home ground of Wolverhampton.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.