Bristol Cityvs
Portsmouth
Our prediction
Bristol City winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
47% Over · 53% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Bristol City | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 24th | Position | 23rd |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 19th |
| 13th | Defence rank | 22nd |
| 1477 | Elo | 1473 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Bristol CityLWLDL
PortsmouthLDWLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-01Bristol City 5–0 Portsmouth
- 2025-11-29Portsmouth 0–1 Bristol City
- 2024-12-29Bristol City 3–0 Portsmouth
- 2024-12-07Portsmouth 3–0 Bristol City
Match analysis
The model gives Bristol City a slim edge at 47% in a tight matchup.
Bristol City arrive with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Portsmouth it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 3 Bristol City wins, 0 draws, 1 for Portsmouth.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
Our model's most likely outcome is Bristol City win, with probabilities of 47% for a Bristol City win, 27% for a draw and 26% for an Portsmouth win.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Bristol City vs Portsmouth kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
