Birminghamvs
Bristol City
Our prediction
Birmingham winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
42% Over · 58% Under
Both teams to score
48% Yes · 52% No
Team comparison
| Birmingham | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 24th |
| 1 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 5th | Defence rank | 13th |
| 1496 | Elo | 1477 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
BirminghamDDWWD
Bristol CityLWLDL
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-25Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City
- 2025-10-25Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham
- 2023-12-29Birmingham 0–0 Bristol City
- 2023-08-19Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham
- 2023-01-14Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham
Match analysis
The model gives Birmingham a slim edge at 42% in a tight matchup.
Birmingham arrive with 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5.
For Bristol City it reads 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Birmingham wins, 1 draws, 2 for Bristol City.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Birmingham vs Bristol City?
Our model's most likely outcome is Birmingham win, with probabilities of 42% for a Birmingham win, 29% for a draw and 29% for an Bristol City win.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Bristol City?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
When does Birmingham vs Bristol City kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 11:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
