Blackburnvs
Middlesbrough
Our prediction
Middlesbrough winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
42% Over · 58% Under
Both teams to score
48% Yes · 52% No
Team comparison
| Middlesbrough | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Position | 5th |
| 1 | Points | 3 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 23rd | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 6th | Defence rank | 3rd |
| 1474 | Elo | 1587 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
BlackburnDLWDL
MiddlesbroughWDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-21Blackburn 0–0 Middlesbrough
- 2025-12-26Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn
- 2025-04-04Blackburn 0–2 Middlesbrough
- 2024-11-27Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn
- 2024-03-16Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn
Match analysis
Middlesbrough are narrow favourites at 39% — this one is far from decided.
Blackburn arrive with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Middlesbrough it reads 3 wins, 2 draws over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Blackburn wins, 3 draws, 1 for Middlesbrough.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Our model's most likely outcome is Middlesbrough win, with probabilities of 31% for a Blackburn win, 29% for a draw and 39% for an Middlesbrough win.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
When does Blackburn vs Middlesbrough kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.