West Bromvs
Burnley
Our prediction
Burnley winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
38% Over · 62% Under
Both teams to score
45% Yes · 55% No
Team comparison
| West Brom | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 11th |
| 3 | Points | 1 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 16th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 4th | Defence rank | 1st |
| 1496 | Elo | 1753 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2025-03-11Burnley 1–1 West Brom
- 2024-11-07West Brom 0–0 Burnley
- 2023-01-20Burnley 2–1 West Brom
- 2022-09-02West Brom 1–1 Burnley
Match analysis
Burnley are narrow favourites at 40% — this one is far from decided.
Recent form for West Brom: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Burnley bring 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 0 West Brom wins, 3 draws, 1 for Burnley.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Brom vs Burnley?
Our model's most likely outcome is Burnley win, with probabilities of 30% for a West Brom win, 30% for a draw and 40% for an Burnley win.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Burnley?
The model puts both teams scoring at 45% — less likely than not.
When does West Brom vs Burnley kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 11:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
