Best picks
Draw or Como 1907
Under 2.5 goals
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Genoa@ 4.60
Model +4 vs market
X Draw@ 3.40
Model −2 vs market
2 Como 1907@ 1.83
Model −3 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Draw or Como 190775%
Either side wins74%
Genoa or draw51%
Goal lines
Over 1.569%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Under: 1.5 31% · 2.5 57% · 3.5 78%
Both teams to score
Yes47%
No53%
Most likely score
0–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Genoa | Como 1907 | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 12th | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1467 | Elo | 1682 |
| €140m | Squad value | €395m |
| 1 | Form pts (last 5) | 13 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 4
Recent form · last 10
Genoa8 / 30 pts
Serie A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 |  Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 |  Venezia FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Como 1907 edge it at 49%, with plenty of draw risk at 26%. Genoa arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws, 6 defeats from their last 10. For Como 1907 it reads 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats over the last 10. At home Genoa have won 1 of their last 4; Como 1907 have taken 14 of 21 points on their travels. The last 4 head-to-heads: 0 Genoa wins, 2 draws, 2 for Como 1907. The fixture has produced 1.8 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 2 of the last 4. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 43%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Genoa vs Como 1907?
Our model's most likely outcome is Como 1907 win, with probabilities of 25% for a Genoa win, 26% for a draw and 49% for an Como 1907 win.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Como 1907?
The model puts both teams scoring at 47% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Genoa vs Como 1907?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Genoa or draw 51%, draw or Como 1907 75%, and either side to win 74%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Genoa vs Como 1907 kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-04 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Genoa vs Como 1907 being played?
The match is scheduled for Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, the home ground of Genoa.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.