Serie A · Matchday 3 · Dacia Arena

Udinese vs Lazio prediction

Udinese
Mon 7 SeptUTC
Lazio

model dc-0.1.0predicted 2026-09-01append-only record

Best picks

Top pick

Udinese or Lazio

Under 2.5 goals

BTTS: No

Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.

More markets

Double chance

Either side wins72%

Draw or Lazio65%

Udinese or draw62%

Goal lines

Over 1.568%

Over 2.541%

Over 3.521%

Under: 1.5 32% · 2.5 59% · 3.5 79%

Both teams to score

Yes47%

No53%

Most likely score

1–1at 13%

The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.

Team comparison

Udinese vs Lazio: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
UdineseLazio
7thPosition6th
4Points6
2.0Goals / game1.0
13thAttack rank10th
13thDefence rank8th
1531Elo1599
€181mSquad value€260m
7Form pts (last 5)9

Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.

Head-to-head · last 10

2Udinese wins
6Draws
2Lazio wins

Recent form · last 10

Udinese15 / 30 pts

Lazio17 / 30 pts

Serie A standingsLeague hub →

Serie A 2026-27 standings with Udinese (green) and Lazio (blue) highlighted
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Roma2200+86
2Inter2200+46
3Milan2200+36
4Juventus2200+36
5Atalanta2200+26
6Lazio2200+26
7Udinese2110+14
8Como 19072110+14
9Frosinone2101+23
10Napoli2101+13
11Sassuolo210103
12Cagliari210103
13Lecce2101-23
14Torino2002-20
15Bologna2002-20
16Genoa2002-30
17Parma2002-30
18Monza2002-40
19Venezia FC2002-40
20Fiorentina2002-70

Model verdict

A close call: Lazio edge it at 38%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%. Recent form for Udinese: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Lazio bring 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Udinese, while Lazio collected 9/15 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 2 Udinese wins, 6 draws, 2 for Lazio. Those meetings averaged 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring in 8 of the 10. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Udinese vs Lazio?

Our model's most likely outcome is Lazio win, with probabilities of 35% for a Udinese win, 28% for a draw and 38% for an Lazio win.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lazio?

The model puts both teams scoring at 47% — less likely than not.

What is the double chance prediction for Udinese vs Lazio?

Derived from the same model probabilities: Udinese or draw 62%, draw or Lazio 65%, and either side to win 72%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.

When does Udinese vs Lazio kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-07 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

Where is Udinese vs Lazio being played?

The match is scheduled for Dacia Arena, the home ground of Udinese.

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.

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