Laziovs
Genoa
Our prediction
Lazio winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
41% Over · 59% Under
Both teams to score
46% Yes · 54% No
Team comparison
| Lazio | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 5th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 10th | Attack rank | 16th |
| 8th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1582 | Elo | 1481 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-30Lazio 3–2 Genoa
- 2025-09-29Genoa 0–3 Lazio
- 2025-04-23Genoa 0–2 Lazio
- 2024-10-27Lazio 3–0 Genoa
- 2024-04-19Genoa 0–1 Lazio
Match analysis
The model gives Lazio a slim edge at 44% in a tight matchup.
Lazio arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Genoa it reads 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 5 Lazio wins, 0 draws, 0 for Genoa.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lazio vs Genoa?
Our model's most likely outcome is Lazio win, with probabilities of 44% for a Lazio win, 28% for a draw and 28% for an Genoa win.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Genoa?
The model puts both teams scoring at 46% — less likely than not.
When does Lazio vs Genoa kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
