How our call did
Our pre-match call was Roma win — the match finished Lecce 0–4 Roma.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Under 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✓ HitRoma win
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Draw or Roma80%
Either side wins74%
Lecce or draw46%
Goal lines
Over 1.567%
Over 2.540%
Over 3.520%
Under: 1.5 33% · 2.5 60% · 3.5 80%
Both teams to score
Yes43%
No57%
Most likely score
0–1at 15%actual 0–4
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Lecce | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 1st |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 4.0 |
| 20th | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 15th | Defence rank | 1st |
| 1437 | Elo | 1716 |
| €125m | Squad value | €477m |
| 12 | Form pts (last 5) | 15 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Lecce14 / 30 pts
- W
Venezia FC0–2Lecce - WLecce1–0Genoa
- W
Sassuolo2–3Lecce - LLecce0–1Juventus
- W
Pisa Sporting Club1–2Lecce - D
Hellas Verona FC0–0Lecce - DLecce1–1Fiorentina
- L
Bologna2–0Lecce - LLecce0–3Atalanta
- LRoma1–0Lecce
Roma25 / 30 pts
- WRoma4–0Fiorentina
- WHellas Verona FC0–2Roma
- WRoma2–0Lazio
- W
Parma2–3Roma - WRoma4–0Fiorentina
- WBologna0–2Roma
- DRoma1–1Atalanta
- WRoma3–0Pisa Sporting Club
- L
Inter5–2Roma - WRoma1–0Lecce
Serie A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 | Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
Our model makes Roma clear favourites at 54%. Lecce arrive with 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10. For Roma it reads 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat over the last 10. At home Lecce have won 1 of their last 4; Roma have taken 9 of 12 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 0 Lecce wins, 2 draws, 6 for Roma. The fixture has produced 2.1 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 4 of the last 8. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 40%. The model leans BTTS No, pricing Yes at just 43%.