Romavs
Fiorentina
Our prediction
Roma winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
46% Over · 54% Under
Both teams to score
49% Yes · 51% No
Team comparison
| Roma | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 19th | Position | 20th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 3rd | Attack rank | 9th |
| 1st | Defence rank | 10th |
| 1698 | Elo | 1558 |
| 15 | Form pts (last 5) | 6 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
RomaWWWWW
FiorentinaDWDLD
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-04Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
- 2025-10-05Fiorentina 1–2 Roma
- 2025-05-04Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
- 2024-10-27Fiorentina 5–1 Roma
- 2024-03-10Fiorentina 2–2 Roma
Match analysis
Our model makes Roma clear favourites at 50%.
Recent form for Roma: 5 wins across the last 5.
Fiorentina bring 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Roma wins, 1 draws, 1 for Fiorentina.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Roma vs Fiorentina?
Our model's most likely outcome is Roma win, with probabilities of 50% for a Roma win, 26% for a draw and 24% for an Fiorentina win.
Will both teams score in Roma vs Fiorentina?
The model puts both teams scoring at 49% — less likely than not.
When does Roma vs Fiorentina kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-24 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
