Torinovs
Milan
Our prediction
Milan winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
47% Over · 53% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Torino | Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 16th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 7th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1492 | Elo | 1638 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-21Milan 3–2 Torino
- 2025-12-08Torino 2–3 Milan
- 2025-02-22Torino 2–1 Milan
- 2024-08-17Milan 2–2 Torino
- 2024-05-18Torino 3–1 Milan
Match analysis
The model gives Milan a slim edge at 46% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Torino: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Milan bring 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Torino wins, 1 draws, 2 for Milan.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Torino vs Milan?
Our model's most likely outcome is Milan win, with probabilities of 28% for a Torino win, 26% for a draw and 46% for an Milan win.
Will both teams score in Torino vs Milan?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Torino vs Milan kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
