Serie A · Matchday 1 ·

BolognavsLazio

Our prediction

Bologna winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

44% Over · 56% Under

Both teams to score

50% Yes · 51% No

Team comparison

Bologna vs Lazio: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
BolognaLazio
17thPosition18th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
8thAttack rank10th
9thDefence rank8th
1569Elo1582
8Form pts (last 5)7

Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

BolognaDWWDL

LazioWLLWD

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-22Bologna 02 Lazio
  • 2025-12-07Lazio 11 Bologna
  • 2025-03-16Bologna 50 Lazio
  • 2024-11-24Lazio 30 Bologna
  • 2024-02-18Lazio 12 Bologna

Match analysis

A close call: Bologna edge it at 40%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%.

Bologna arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5.

For Lazio it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Bologna wins, 1 draws, 2 for Lazio.

A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bologna vs Lazio?

Our model's most likely outcome is Bologna win, with probabilities of 40% for a Bologna win, 28% for a draw and 33% for an Lazio win.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Lazio?

The model puts both teams scoring at 50% — less likely than not.

When does Bologna vs Lazio kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-24 · 16:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.