Atalantavs
Sassuolo
Our prediction
Atalanta winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
50% Over · 50% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 11th |
| 6th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1646 | Elo | 1479 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-01Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta
- 2025-11-09Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
- 2024-02-17Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo
- 2023-08-20Sassuolo 0–2 Atalanta
- 2023-02-04Sassuolo 1–0 Atalanta
Match analysis
Our model makes Atalanta clear favourites at 54%.
Atalanta arrive with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Sassuolo it reads 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Atalanta wins, 0 draws, 3 for Sassuolo.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 50%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Our model's most likely outcome is Atalanta win, with probabilities of 54% for a Atalanta win, 24% for a draw and 22% for an Sassuolo win.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Atalanta vs Sassuolo kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
