Genoavs
Napoli
Our prediction
Napoli winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
42% Over · 58% Under
Both teams to score
47% Yes · 53% No
Team comparison
| Genoa | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 6th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 16th | Attack rank | 6th |
| 12th | Defence rank | 3rd |
| 1481 | Elo | 1696 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-07Genoa 2–3 Napoli
- 2025-10-05Napoli 2–1 Genoa
- 2025-05-11Napoli 2–2 Genoa
- 2024-12-21Genoa 1–2 Napoli
- 2024-02-17Napoli 1–1 Genoa
Match analysis
A close call: Napoli edge it at 46%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%.
Genoa arrive with 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Napoli it reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Genoa wins, 2 draws, 3 for Napoli.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Genoa vs Napoli?
Our model's most likely outcome is Napoli win, with probabilities of 26% for a Genoa win, 28% for a draw and 46% for an Napoli win.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Napoli?
The model puts both teams scoring at 47% — less likely than not.
When does Genoa vs Napoli kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
