Premier League · Matchday 3 · Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool prediction
Best picks
Over 2.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Liverpool win
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Ipswich Town@ 5.40
Model +7 vs market
X Draw@ 4.75
Model +3 vs market
2 Liverpool@ 1.50
Model −9 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins78%
Draw or Liverpool76%
Ipswich Town or draw47%
Goal lines
Over 1.586%
Over 2.567%
Over 3.545%
Under: 1.5 14% · 2.5 33% · 3.5 55%
Both teams to score
Yes66%
No34%
Most likely score
1–1at 10%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Ipswich Town | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 13th |
| 3 | Points | 2 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 6th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 4th | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1654 | Elo | 1653 |
| €139m | Squad value | €980m |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 2
Recent form · last 10
Ipswich Town18 / 30 pts
- L
Man United5–2Ipswich Town - WIpswich Town2–1Sunderland
- WIpswich Town3–0QPR
- D
Southampton2–2Ipswich Town - D
West Brom0–0Ipswich Town - W
Charlton1–2Ipswich Town - DIpswich Town2–2Middlesbrough
- L
Portsmouth2–0Ipswich Town - W
Norwich0–2Ipswich Town - WIpswich Town2–1Birmingham
Liverpool13 / 30 pts
- DLiverpool2–2Nottingham
- D
Newcastle2–2Liverpool - DLiverpool1–1Brentford
- L
Aston Villa4–2Liverpool - DLiverpool1–1Chelsea
- LMan United3–2Liverpool
- WLiverpool3–1Crystal Palace
- W
Everton1–2Liverpool - LLiverpool0–2PSG
- WLiverpool2–0Fulham
Premier League standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Brighton Hove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 | Man United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Model verdict
Our model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 53%. Ipswich Town arrive with 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10. For Liverpool it reads 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Ipswich Town have won 3 of their last 4; Liverpool have taken 4 of 12 points on their travels. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 67%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 66%. The market reads it differently: bookmakers imply 63% for Liverpool against our 53% — the model-vs-market table below breaks the gap down.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Our model's most likely outcome is Liverpool win, with probabilities of 24% for a Ipswich Town win, 22% for a draw and 53% for an Liverpool win.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
The model puts both teams scoring at 66% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Ipswich Town or draw 47%, draw or Liverpool 76%, and either side to win 78%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Ipswich Town vs Liverpool kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-04 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Ipswich Town vs Liverpool being played?
The match is scheduled for Portman Road Stadium, the home ground of Ipswich Town.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.