Liverpoolvs
Nottingham
Our prediction
Liverpool winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
58% Over · 42% Under
Both teams to score
60% Yes · 40% No
Team comparison
| Liverpool | Nottingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 7th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 16th |
| 8th | Defence rank | 16th |
| 1658 | Elo | 1629 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
LiverpoolDLDLW
NottinghamDLDWW
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-22Nottingham 0–1 Liverpool
- 2025-11-22Liverpool 0–3 Nottingham
- 2025-01-14Nottingham 1–1 Liverpool
- 2024-09-14Liverpool 0–1 Nottingham
- 2024-03-02Nottingham 0–1 Liverpool
Match analysis
Our model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 51%.
Recent form for Liverpool: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Nottingham bring 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Liverpool wins, 1 draws, 2 for Nottingham.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Nottingham?
Our model's most likely outcome is Liverpool win, with probabilities of 51% for a Liverpool win, 25% for a draw and 24% for an Nottingham win.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottingham?
The model puts both teams scoring at 60% — more likely than not.
When does Liverpool vs Nottingham kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 11:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
