Nottinghamvs
Leeds United
Our prediction
Nottingham winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
55% Yes · 45% No
Team comparison
| Nottingham | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 16th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 16th | Defence rank | 3rd |
| 1629 | Elo | 1734 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
NottinghamDLDWW
Leeds UnitedLWDWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-06Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham
- 2025-11-09Nottingham 3–1 Leeds United
- 2023-04-04Leeds United 2–1 Nottingham
- 2023-02-05Nottingham 1–0 Leeds United
Match analysis
The model gives Nottingham a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Nottingham: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Leeds United bring 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 2 Nottingham wins, 0 draws, 2 for Leeds United.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nottingham vs Leeds United?
Our model's most likely outcome is Nottingham win, with probabilities of 45% for a Nottingham win, 27% for a draw and 28% for an Leeds United win.
Will both teams score in Nottingham vs Leeds United?
The model puts both teams scoring at 55% — more likely than not.
When does Nottingham vs Leeds United kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
