Brighton Hovevs
Aston Villa
Our prediction
Brighton Hove winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
54% Over · 46% Under
Both teams to score
58% Yes · 42% No
Team comparison
| Brighton Hove | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 16th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 11th |
| 1577 | Elo | 1619 |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Brighton HoveLLWLW
Aston VillaWWDLL
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-11Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton Hove
- 2025-12-03Brighton Hove 3–4 Aston Villa
- 2025-04-02Brighton Hove 0–3 Aston Villa
- 2024-12-30Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton Hove
- 2024-05-05Brighton Hove 1–0 Aston Villa
Match analysis
A close call: Brighton Hove edge it at 41%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%.
Recent form for Brighton Hove: 2 wins, 3 defeats across the last 5.
Aston Villa bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Brighton Hove wins, 1 draws, 3 for Aston Villa.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 54%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?
Our model's most likely outcome is Brighton Hove win, with probabilities of 41% for a Brighton Hove win, 27% for a draw and 32% for an Aston Villa win.
Will both teams score in Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.
When does Brighton Hove vs Aston Villa kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 13:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
