Fulhamvs
Chelsea
Our prediction
Fulham winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
56% Yes · 44% No
Team comparison
| Fulham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 19th | Position | 20th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1628 | Elo | 1568 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-07Fulham 2–1 Chelsea
- 2025-08-30Chelsea 2–0 Fulham
- 2025-04-20Fulham 1–2 Chelsea
- 2024-12-26Chelsea 1–2 Fulham
- 2024-01-13Chelsea 1–0 Fulham
Match analysis
The model gives Fulham a slim edge at 38% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Fulham: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Chelsea bring 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Fulham wins, 0 draws, 3 for Chelsea.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fulham vs Chelsea?
Our model's most likely outcome is Fulham win, with probabilities of 38% for a Fulham win, 28% for a draw and 35% for an Chelsea win.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Chelsea?
The model puts both teams scoring at 56% — more likely than not.
When does Fulham vs Chelsea kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-24 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
