Man Cityvs
Bournemouth
Our prediction
Man City winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
59% Over · 41% Under
Both teams to score
57% Yes · 43% No
Team comparison
| Man City | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 17th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1765 | Elo | 1630 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Man CityLDWWD
BournemouthDDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-19Bournemouth 1–1 Man City
- 2025-11-02Man City 3–1 Bournemouth
- 2025-05-20Man City 3–1 Bournemouth
- 2024-11-02Bournemouth 2–1 Man City
- 2024-02-24Bournemouth 0–1 Man City
Match analysis
Man City go in as the model's favourite with a 58% win probability.
Man City arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Bournemouth it reads 2 wins, 3 draws over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Man City wins, 1 draws, 1 for Bournemouth.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 59%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Man City vs Bournemouth?
Our model's most likely outcome is Man City win, with probabilities of 58% for a Man City win, 23% for a draw and 19% for an Bournemouth win.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Bournemouth?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
When does Man City vs Bournemouth kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-23 · 13:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
