Wolverhamptonvs
Stoke
Our prediction
Wolverhampton winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
47% Over · 53% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Wolverhampton | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 20th |
| 1 | Points | 0 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 22nd |
| 18th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1497 | Elo | 1409 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 0 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
WolverhamptonDDDLD
StokeLLLLL
Match analysis
A close call: Wolverhampton edge it at 46%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%.
Recent form for Wolverhampton: 4 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Stoke bring 5 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolverhampton vs Stoke?
Our model's most likely outcome is Wolverhampton win, with probabilities of 46% for a Wolverhampton win, 27% for a draw and 26% for an Stoke win.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Stoke?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Wolverhampton vs Stoke kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 11:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
