Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Mirassol win
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Mirassol or draw79%
Either side wins74%
Draw or Vitória47%
Goal lines
Over 1.572%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Under: 1.5 28% · 2.5 55% · 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
Yes48%
No52%
Most likely score
1–0at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Mirassol | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 14th |
| 25 | Points | 29 |
| 1.1 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 20th |
| 13th | Defence rank | 15th |
| 1528 | Elo | 1481 |
| €34m | Squad value | €46m |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 3
Recent form · last 10
Mirassol12 / 30 pts
- L
Flamengo2–0Mirassol - DMirassol1–1Palmeiras
- D
Santos1–1Mirassol - LMirassol1–5Flamengo
- L
Cruzeiro3–1Mirassol - WMirassol2–1Clube do Remo
- D
Vasco da Gama1–1Mirassol - WMirassol2–1Grêmio
- L
Paranaense1–0Mirassol - WMirassol1–0Fluminense
Vitória10 / 30 pts
- L
Mineiro2–1Vitória - LVitória0–2Bahia
- WVitória1–0Botafogo
- LFlamengo2–0Vitória
- LVitória0–4Palmeiras
- LClube do Remo2–0Vitória
- DBotafogo0–0Vitória
- WVitória1–0Vasco da Gama
- LSantos3–1Vitória
- WVitória2–0Internacional
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Model verdict
Our model makes Mirassol clear favourites at 53%. Recent form for Mirassol: 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats across the last 10. Vitória bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 6 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 5 for Mirassol, while Vitória collected 1/15 away points in that stretch. The last 3 head-to-heads: 0 Mirassol wins, 1 draws, 2 for Vitória. Those meetings averaged 1.7 goals, with both sides scoring in 1 of the 3. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mirassol vs Vitória?
Our model's most likely outcome is Mirassol win, with probabilities of 53% for a Mirassol win, 26% for a draw and 21% for an Vitória win.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Vitória?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Mirassol vs Vitória?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Mirassol or draw 79%, draw or Vitória 47%, and either side to win 74%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Mirassol vs Vitória kick off?
Mirassol vs Vitória is scheduled for Sat 12 Sept; the exact kick-off time has not been confirmed yet.
Where is Mirassol vs Vitória being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, the home ground of Mirassol.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.