How our call did
Our pre-match call was Flamengo win — the match finished Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Flamengo win
✓ HitOver 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: Yes
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Flamengo or draw86%
Either side wins80%
Draw or Mirassol34%
Goal lines
Over 1.581%
Over 2.558%
Over 3.535%
Under: 1.5 19% · 2.5 42% · 3.5 65%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
2–0at 11%actual 2–0
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Flamengo | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 17th |
| 51 | Points | 25 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 1.1 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 8th |
| 1st | Defence rank | 13th |
| 1731 | Elo | 1528 |
| €186m | Squad value | €34m |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 3
Recent form · last 10
Flamengo18 / 30 pts
- WFlamengo3–0Botafogo
- L
Cruzeiro2–1Flamengo - WMirassol1–5Flamengo
- WFlamengo2–0Vitória
- D
Internacional1–1Flamengo - DFlamengo1–1São Paulo
- W
Chapecoense0–4Flamengo - WFlamengo3–0Coritiba
- LFlamengo0–3Palmeiras
- D
Paranaense1–1Flamengo
Mirassol12 / 30 pts
- DMirassol1–1Palmeiras
- D
Santos1–1Mirassol - LMirassol1–5Flamengo
- LCruzeiro3–1Mirassol
- WMirassol2–1Clube do Remo
- D
Vasco da Gama1–1Mirassol - WMirassol2–1Grêmio
- LParanaense1–0Mirassol
- WMirassol1–0Fluminense
- L
Mineiro3–1Mirassol
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Flamengo go in as the model's favourite with a 66% win probability. Flamengo arrive with 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10. For Mirassol it reads 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats over the last 10. At home Flamengo have won 3 of their last 5; Mirassol have taken 2 of 15 points on their travels. The last 3 head-to-heads: 2 Flamengo wins, 1 draws, 0 for Mirassol. The fixture has produced 5.0 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 3 of the last 3. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%.