How our call did
Our pre-match call was Flamengo win — the match finished Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Cruzeiro or Flamengo
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: Yes
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins72%
Draw or Flamengo67%
Cruzeiro or draw61%
Goal lines
Over 2.547%
Under: 2.5 53%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 2–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Cruzeiro | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 2nd |
| 39 | Points | 51 |
| 1.4 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 7th | Attack rank | 1st |
| 5th | Defence rank | 1st |
| 1604 | Elo | 1731 |
| €175m | Squad value | €186m |
| 12 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 7
Recent form · last 10
Cruzeiro20 / 30 pts
- W
Corinthians1–2Cruzeiro - WCruzeiro3–1Mirassol
- W
Coritiba0–1Cruzeiro - LCruzeiro0–1Botafogo
- W
Internacional1–2Cruzeiro - DCruzeiro1–1Fluminense
- WCruzeiro2–1Chapecoense
- D
Palmeiras1–1Cruzeiro - W
Bahia1–2Cruzeiro - LCruzeiro1–3Mineiro
Flamengo19 / 30 pts
- WMirassol1–5Flamengo
- WFlamengo2–0Vitória
- DInternacional1–1Flamengo
- DFlamengo1–1São Paulo
- WChapecoense0–4Flamengo
- WFlamengo3–0Coritiba
- LFlamengo0–3Palmeiras
- D
Paranaense1–1Flamengo - W
Grêmio0–1Flamengo - DFlamengo2–2Vasco da Gama
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 |  Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
A close call: Flamengo edge it at 39%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%. Cruzeiro arrive with 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10. For Flamengo it reads 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat over the last 10. At home Cruzeiro have won 2 of their last 5; Flamengo have taken 11 of 15 points on their travels. The last 7 head-to-heads: 1 Cruzeiro wins, 2 draws, 4 for Flamengo. The fixture has produced 1.9 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 3 of the last 7. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.