Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 24 · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Coritiba vs Corinthians prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Coritiba win — the match finished Coritiba 2–1 Corinthians.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Coritiba or Corinthians
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins71%
Coritiba or draw70%
Draw or Corinthians60%
Goal lines
Over 2.541%
Under: 2.5 59%
Both teams to score
Yes48%
No52%
Most likely score
1–1at 14%actual 2–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Coritiba | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 10th |
| 37 | Points | 32 |
| 1.3 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 10th | Attack rank | 18th |
| 16th | Defence rank | 4th |
| 1489 | Elo | 1537 |
| €43m | Squad value | €146m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 5
Recent form · last 10
Coritiba12 / 30 pts
- D
São Paulo1–1Coritiba - WCoritiba2–1Chapecoense
- LCoritiba0–1Cruzeiro
- D
Bragantino0–0Coritiba - LCoritiba1–3Palmeiras
- L
Flamengo3–0Coritiba - WCoritiba3–2Bahia
- W
Santos0–3Coritiba - DCoritiba2–2Internacional
- L
Vitória4–1Coritiba
Corinthians17 / 30 pts
- LCorinthians1–2Cruzeiro
- WBragantino0–2Corinthians
- DCorinthians0–0Paranaense
- DBahia1–1Corinthians
- WCorinthians3–0Clube do Remo
- W
Grêmio1–3Corinthians - WCorinthians1–0Mineiro
- L
Botafogo3–1Corinthians - WCorinthians3–2São Paulo
- L
Mirassol2–1Corinthians
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 |  Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
A close call: Coritiba edge it at 40%, with plenty of draw risk at 29%. Coritiba arrive with 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10. For Corinthians it reads 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Coritiba have won 2 of their last 5; Corinthians have taken 7 of 15 points on their travels. The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Coritiba wins, 1 draws, 3 for Corinthians. The fixture has produced 3.2 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 3 of the last 5. The draw is live here at 29% — noticeably above the usual rate. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%.