Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 24 · Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo vs Paranaense prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Botafogo win — the match finished Botafogo 2–3 Paranaense.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Botafogo or draw
✗ MissUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Botafogo or draw74%
Either side wins72%
Draw or Paranaense53%
Goal lines
Over 2.545%
Under: 2.5 55%
Both teams to score
Yes49%
No51%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 2–3
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Botafogo | Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 3rd |
| 30 | Points | 45 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 3rd | Attack rank | 6th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 3rd |
| 1579 | Elo | 1581 |
| €125m | Squad value | €76m |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 7
Recent form · last 10
Botafogo13 / 30 pts
- L
Vitória1–0Botafogo - DBotafogo1–1Fluminense
- W
Cruzeiro0–1Botafogo - DBotafogo0–0Vitória
- WBotafogo2–1Santos
- L
Bahia2–1Botafogo - D
São Paulo1–1Botafogo - WBotafogo3–1Corinthians
- D
Mineiro1–1Botafogo - LBotafogo1–2Clube do Remo
Paranaense19 / 30 pts
- DParanaense1–1Bragantino
- WSantos0–2Paranaense
- DCorinthians0–0Paranaense
- WParanaense2–0Internacional
- WSão Paulo1–2Paranaense
- WParanaense1–0Mirassol
- WClube do Remo1–2Paranaense
- DParanaense1–1Flamengo
- L
Vasco da Gama1–0Paranaense - DParanaense0–0Grêmio
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Botafogo are narrow favourites at 47% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Botafogo: 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Paranaense bring 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 2 home wins in 5 for Botafogo, while Paranaense collected 10/15 away points in that stretch. The last 7 head-to-heads: 2 Botafogo wins, 2 draws, 3 for Paranaense. Those meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring in 3 of the 7. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%.