How our call did
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras win — the match finished Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Over 1.5 goals
✓ HitMirassol or Palmeiras
✗ MissBTTS: Yes
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins73%
Draw or Palmeiras69%
Mirassol or draw59%
Goal lines
Over 1.574%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527%
Under: 1.5 26% · 2.5 51% · 3.5 73%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
No46%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 1–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Mirassol | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 1st |
| 25 | Points | 52 |
| 1.1 | Goals / game | 1.8 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 13th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1528 | Elo | 1723 |
| €34m | Squad value | €240m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 3
Recent form · last 10
Mirassol12 / 30 pts
- D
Santos1–1Mirassol - LMirassol1–5Flamengo
- L
Cruzeiro3–1Mirassol - WMirassol2–1Clube do Remo
- D
Vasco da Gama1–1Mirassol - WMirassol2–1Grêmio
- L
Paranaense1–0Mirassol - WMirassol1–0Fluminense
- L
Mineiro3–1Mirassol - DMirassol1–1Chapecoense
Palmeiras18 / 30 pts
- WPalmeiras4–1Vasco da Gama
- LFluminense3–2Palmeiras
- DPalmeiras0–0Internacional
- W
Vitória0–4Palmeiras - LPalmeiras1–2Mineiro
- W
Coritiba1–3Palmeiras - WPalmeiras1–0Chapecoense
- WFlamengo0–3Palmeiras
- DPalmeiras1–1Cruzeiro
- DClube do Remo1–1Palmeiras
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Palmeiras are narrow favourites at 41% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Mirassol: 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats across the last 10. Palmeiras bring 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 5 for Mirassol, while Palmeiras collected 10/15 away points in that stretch. The last 3 head-to-heads: 1 Mirassol wins, 1 draws, 1 for Palmeiras. Those meetings averaged 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring in 2 of the 3. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.