Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 24 · Allianz Parque
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras win — the match finished Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco da Gama.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Palmeiras win
✓ HitOver 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw88%
Either side wins80%
Draw or Vasco da Gama32%
Goal lines
Over 2.557%
Under: 2.5 43%
Both teams to score
Yes49%
No51%
Most likely score
2–0at 12%actual 4–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Palmeiras | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 18th |
| 52 | Points | 25 |
| 1.8 | Goals / game | 1.1 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 12th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1723 | Elo | 1462 |
| €240m | Squad value | €105m |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 7
Recent form · last 10
Palmeiras16 / 30 pts
- L
Fluminense3–2Palmeiras - DPalmeiras0–0Internacional
- W
Vitória0–4Palmeiras - LPalmeiras1–2Mineiro
- W
Coritiba1–3Palmeiras - WPalmeiras1–0Chapecoense
- W
Flamengo0–3Palmeiras - DPalmeiras1–1Cruzeiro
- D
Clube do Remo1–1Palmeiras - DPalmeiras1–1Santos
Vasco da Gama6 / 30 pts
- LVasco da Gama0–3Santos
- D
Bahia0–0Vasco da Gama - DVasco da Gama1–1Mirassol
- LVitória1–0Vasco da Gama
- LVasco da Gama0–1Mineiro
- LVasco da Gama0–3Bragantino
- LInternacional4–1Vasco da Gama
- WVasco da Gama1–0Paranaense
- DFlamengo2–2Vasco da Gama
- L
Corinthians1–0Vasco da Gama
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 |  Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Palmeiras go in as the model's favourite with a 68% win probability. Palmeiras arrive with 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10. For Vasco da Gama it reads 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats over the last 10. At home Palmeiras have won 1 of their last 5; Vasco da Gama have taken 2 of 15 points on their travels. The last 7 head-to-heads: 5 Palmeiras wins, 1 draws, 1 for Vasco da Gama. The fixture has produced 2.1 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 2 of the last 7. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 57%.