Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 25 · Estádio Governador Roberto Santos
Bahia vs Internacional prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Bahia win — the match finished Bahia 3–2 Internacional.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Bahia or draw
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Bahia or draw77%
Either side wins73%
Draw or Internacional51%
Goal lines
Over 1.571%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Under: 1.5 29% · 2.5 55% · 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
Yes49%
No51%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 3–2
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Bahia | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 16th |
| 40 | Points | 25 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 5th | Attack rank | 17th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1569 | Elo | 1495 |
| €123m | Squad value | €69m |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Bahia15 / 30 pts
- W
Vitória0–2Bahia - D
Chapecoense3–3Bahia - DBahia0–0Vasco da Gama
- D
Fluminense0–0Bahia - DBahia1–1Corinthians
- D
Mineiro1–1Bahia - WBahia2–0Chapecoense
- WBahia2–1Botafogo
- L
Coritiba3–2Bahia - DBahia1–1Grêmio
Internacional8 / 30 pts
- DInternacional0–0Mineiro
- DInternacional1–1Clube do Remo
- D
Palmeiras0–0Internacional - DInternacional1–1Flamengo
- L
Paranaense2–0Internacional - LInternacional1–2Cruzeiro
- L
Bragantino3–1Internacional - LVitória2–0Internacional
- WInternacional4–1Vasco da Gama
- DCoritiba2–2Internacional
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 |  Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 |  Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
A close call: Bahia edge it at 50%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%. Recent form for Bahia: 3 wins, 6 draws, 1 defeat across the last 10. Internacional bring 1 win, 5 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 2 home wins in 5 for Bahia, while Internacional collected 2/15 away points in that stretch. The last 9 head-to-heads: 3 Bahia wins, 2 draws, 4 for Internacional. Those meetings averaged 1.9 goals, with both sides scoring in 3 of the 9. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%.