How our call did
Our pre-match call was Flamengo win — the match finished Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Flamengo win
✓ HitOver 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: Yes
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Flamengo or draw83%
Either side wins78%
Draw or Botafogo39%
Goal lines
Over 1.581%
Over 2.558%
Over 3.536%
Under: 1.5 19% · 2.5 42% · 3.5 64%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
No45%
Most likely score
1–1at 10%actual 3–0
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Flamengo | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 12th |
| 51 | Points | 30 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 1st | Defence rank | 11th |
| 1731 | Elo | 1579 |
| €186m | Squad value | €125m |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Flamengo18 / 30 pts
- L
Cruzeiro2–1Flamengo - W
Mirassol1–5Flamengo - WFlamengo2–0Vitória
- D
Internacional1–1Flamengo - DFlamengo1–1São Paulo
- W
Chapecoense0–4Flamengo - WFlamengo3–0Coritiba
- LFlamengo0–3Palmeiras
- D
Paranaense1–1Flamengo - W
Grêmio0–1Flamengo
Botafogo13 / 30 pts
- LBotafogo2–3Paranaense
- LVitória1–0Botafogo
- DBotafogo1–1Fluminense
- WCruzeiro0–1Botafogo
- DBotafogo0–0Vitória
- WBotafogo2–1Santos
- L
Bahia2–1Botafogo - DSão Paulo1–1Botafogo
- WBotafogo3–1Corinthians
- D
Mineiro1–1Botafogo
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 |  Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Flamengo go in as the model's favourite with a 61% win probability. Recent form for Flamengo: 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats across the last 10. Botafogo bring 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 2 home wins in 4 for Flamengo, while Botafogo collected 5/15 away points in that stretch. The last 9 head-to-heads: 4 Flamengo wins, 1 draws, 4 for Botafogo. Those meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both sides scoring in 3 of the 9. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score is priced Yes at 55%.