How our call did
Our pre-match call was Mineiro win — the match finished Mineiro 2–1 Vitória.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Under 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissMineiro win
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Mineiro or draw80%
Either side wins73%
Draw or Vitória46%
Goal lines
Over 1.569%
Over 2.542%
Over 3.521%
Under: 1.5 31% · 2.5 58% · 3.5 79%
Both teams to score
Yes45%
No55%
Most likely score
1–0at 14%actual 2–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Mineiro | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Position | 14th |
| 36 | Points | 29 |
| 1.3 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 20th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 15th |
| 1564 | Elo | 1481 |
| €89m | Squad value | €46m |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 5
Recent form · last 10
Mineiro19 / 30 pts
- D
Internacional0–0Mineiro - WMineiro3–0Grêmio
- D
Clube do Remo2–2Mineiro - W
Palmeiras1–2Mineiro - DMineiro1–1Bahia
- W
Vasco da Gama0–1Mineiro - L
Corinthians1–0Mineiro - WMineiro3–1Mirassol
- DMineiro1–1Botafogo
- W
Cruzeiro1–3Mineiro
Vitória10 / 30 pts
- LVitória0–2Bahia
- WVitória1–0Botafogo
- L
Flamengo2–0Vitória - LVitória0–4Palmeiras
- LClube do Remo2–0Vitória
- DBotafogo0–0Vitória
- WVitória1–0Vasco da Gama
- L
Santos3–1Vitória - WVitória2–0Internacional
- L
Bragantino2–0Vitória
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 |  Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
The numbers lean firmly towards Mineiro: 54% on the win. Recent form for Mineiro: 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat across the last 10. Vitória bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 6 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 2 home wins in 4 for Mineiro, while Vitória collected 1/15 away points in that stretch. The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Mineiro wins, 2 draws, 3 for Vitória. Those meetings averaged 3.4 goals, with both sides scoring in 3 of the 5. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%. At least one clean sheet looks plausible — BTTS Yes is only 45%.