Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 27 · Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo vs Bragantino prediction
Best picks
Over 1.5 goals
Botafogo win
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Botafogo or draw78%
Either side wins75%
Draw or Bragantino47%
Goal lines
Over 1.575%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Under: 1.5 25% · 2.5 50% · 3.5 72%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Botafogo | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 9th |
| 30 | Points | 35 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 1.2 |
| 3rd | Attack rank | 15th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1579 | Elo | 1530 |
| €125m | Squad value | €96m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Botafogo12 / 30 pts
- L
Flamengo3–0Botafogo - LBotafogo2–3Paranaense
- L
Vitória1–0Botafogo - DBotafogo1–1Fluminense
- W
Cruzeiro0–1Botafogo - DBotafogo0–0Vitória
- WBotafogo2–1Santos
- L
Bahia2–1Botafogo - D
São Paulo1–1Botafogo - WBotafogo3–1Corinthians
Bragantino15 / 30 pts
- LSão Paulo2–1Bragantino
- WBragantino1–0Grêmio
- DParanaense1–1Bragantino
- LBragantino0–2Corinthians
- DBragantino0–0Coritiba
- DFluminense1–1Bragantino
- WBragantino3–1Internacional
- W
Vasco da Gama0–3Bragantino - WBragantino2–0Vitória
- LSantos2–0Bragantino
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 |  Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Model verdict
Botafogo go in as the model's favourite with a 53% win probability. Botafogo arrive with 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10. For Bragantino it reads 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Botafogo have won 2 of their last 5; Bragantino have taken 5 of 15 points on their travels. The last 9 head-to-heads: 7 Botafogo wins, 1 draws, 1 for Bragantino. The fixture has produced 2.6 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 5 of the last 9. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 50%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Botafogo vs Bragantino?
Our model's most likely outcome is Botafogo win, with probabilities of 53% for a Botafogo win, 25% for a draw and 22% for an Bragantino win.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Bragantino?
The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Botafogo vs Bragantino?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Botafogo or draw 78%, draw or Bragantino 47%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Botafogo vs Bragantino kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-12 · 23:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Botafogo vs Bragantino being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio Nilton Santos, the home ground of Botafogo.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.