Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 24 · Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino vs Grêmio prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Bragantino win — the match finished Bragantino 1–0 Grêmio.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Bragantino or draw
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: Yes
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Bragantino or draw75%
Either side wins73%
Draw or Grêmio53%
Goal lines
Over 2.546%
Under: 2.5 54%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
No50%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 1–0
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Bragantino | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 15th |
| 35 | Points | 28 |
| 1.2 | Goals / game | 1.1 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 14th |
| 9th | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1530 | Elo | 1501 |
| €96m | Squad value | €102m |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Bragantino15 / 30 pts
- D
Paranaense1–1Bragantino - LBragantino0–2Corinthians
- DBragantino0–0Coritiba
- D
Fluminense1–1Bragantino - WBragantino3–1Internacional
- W
Vasco da Gama0–3Bragantino - WBragantino2–0Vitória
- L
Santos2–0Bragantino - W
Chapecoense1–2Bragantino - LBragantino0–1Palmeiras
Grêmio12 / 30 pts
- L
Mineiro3–0Grêmio - WGrêmio2–1São Paulo
- DGrêmio1–1Fluminense
- L
Mirassol2–1Grêmio - LGrêmio1–3Corinthians
- WGrêmio3–2Santos
- D
Bahia1–1Grêmio - LGrêmio0–1Flamengo
- DParanaense0–0Grêmio
- WGrêmio1–0Coritiba
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Bragantino are narrow favourites at 47% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Bragantino: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Grêmio bring 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 2 home wins in 5 for Bragantino, while Grêmio collected 2/12 away points in that stretch. The last 9 head-to-heads: 4 Bragantino wins, 4 draws, 1 for Grêmio. Those meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both sides scoring in 4 of the 9. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.