Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 25 · Estádio do Morumbi
São Paulo vs Bragantino prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was São Paulo win — the match finished São Paulo 2–1 Bragantino.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
São Paulo or draw
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
São Paulo or draw74%
Either side wins71%
Draw or Bragantino55%
Goal lines
Over 1.568%
Over 2.541%
Over 3.521%
Under: 1.5 32% · 2.5 59% · 3.5 79%
Both teams to score
Yes47%
No53%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 2–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 São Paulo | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | Position | 9th |
| 30 | Points | 35 |
| 1.2 | Goals / game | 1.2 |
| 16th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 8th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1514 | Elo | 1530 |
| €81m | Squad value | €96m |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 6 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
São Paulo4 / 30 pts
- L
Chapecoense1–0São Paulo - DSão Paulo1–1Coritiba
- L
Grêmio2–1São Paulo - D
Flamengo1–1São Paulo - LSão Paulo1–2Paranaense
- L
Clube do Remo1–0São Paulo - DSão Paulo1–1Botafogo
- L
Fluminense2–1São Paulo - L
Corinthians3–2São Paulo - DSão Paulo2–2Bahia
Bragantino18 / 30 pts
- WBragantino1–0Grêmio
- DParanaense1–1Bragantino
- LBragantino0–2Corinthians
- DBragantino0–0Coritiba
- DFluminense1–1Bragantino
- WBragantino3–1Internacional
- W
Vasco da Gama0–3Bragantino - WBragantino2–0Vitória
- L
Santos2–0Bragantino - WChapecoense1–2Bragantino
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 |  Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
São Paulo are narrow favourites at 45% — this one is far from decided. São Paulo arrive with 4 draws, 6 defeats from their last 10. For Bragantino it reads 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats over the last 10. At home São Paulo have won 0 of their last 4; Bragantino have taken 8 of 15 points on their travels. The last 10 head-to-heads: 4 São Paulo wins, 4 draws, 2 for Bragantino. The fixture has produced 1.9 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 4 of the last 10. The draw is live here at 29% — noticeably above the usual rate. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%.