Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 26 · Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino vs Bahia prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Bragantino or Bahia
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins72%
Bragantino or draw71%
Draw or Bahia57%
Goal lines
Over 1.572%
Over 2.546%
Over 3.524%
Under: 1.5 28% · 2.5 54% · 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
Yes51%
No49%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Bragantino | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 5th |
| 35 | Points | 40 |
| 1.2 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 5th |
| 9th | Defence rank | 10th |
| 1530 | Elo | 1569 |
| €96m | Squad value | €123m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Bragantino15 / 30 pts
- L
São Paulo2–1Bragantino - WBragantino1–0Grêmio
- D
Paranaense1–1Bragantino - LBragantino0–2Corinthians
- DBragantino0–0Coritiba
- D
Fluminense1–1Bragantino - WBragantino3–1Internacional
- W
Vasco da Gama0–3Bragantino - WBragantino2–0Vitória
- L
Santos2–0Bragantino
Bahia17 / 30 pts
- WBahia3–2Internacional
- WVitória0–2Bahia
- D
Chapecoense3–3Bahia - DBahia0–0Vasco da Gama
- DFluminense0–0Bahia
- DBahia1–1Corinthians
- D
Mineiro1–1Bahia - WBahia2–0Chapecoense
- WBahia2–1Botafogo
- LCoritiba3–2Bahia
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 |  Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Model verdict
A close call: Bragantino edge it at 43%, with plenty of draw risk at 28%. Bragantino arrive with 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10. For Bahia it reads 4 wins, 5 draws, 1 defeat over the last 10. At home Bragantino have won 3 of their last 5; Bahia have taken 6 of 15 points on their travels. The last 9 head-to-heads: 2 Bragantino wins, 2 draws, 5 for Bahia. The fixture has produced 3.0 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 5 of the last 9. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bragantino vs Bahia?
Our model's most likely outcome is Bragantino win, with probabilities of 43% for a Bragantino win, 28% for a draw and 29% for an Bahia win.
Will both teams score in Bragantino vs Bahia?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Bragantino vs Bahia?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Bragantino or draw 71%, draw or Bahia 57%, and either side to win 72%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Bragantino vs Bahia kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Bragantino vs Bahia being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, the home ground of Bragantino.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.