Premier League · Matchday 3 · Craven Cottage
Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Fulham or draw
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Fulham@ 2.30
Model +3 vs market
X Draw@ 3.35
In line with the market
2 Crystal Palace@ 3.05
Model −3 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Fulham or draw72%
Either side wins72%
Draw or Crystal Palace56%
Goal lines
Over 1.574%
Over 2.548%
Over 3.526%
Under: 1.5 26% · 2.5 52% · 3.5 74%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
No47%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Fulham | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 18th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 0.5 |
| 13th | Attack rank | 20th |
| 17th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1628 | Elo | 1504 |
| €285m | Squad value | €435m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 1 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Fulham11 / 30 pts
- L
Sunderland1–0Fulham - LFulham2–3Chelsea
- WFulham2–0Newcastle
- D
Wolverhampton1–1Fulham - LFulham0–1Bournemouth
- L
Arsenal3–0Fulham - WFulham1–0Aston Villa
- D
Brentford0–0Fulham - L
Liverpool2–0Fulham - WFulham3–1Burnley
Premier League standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Brighton Hove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Man United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Ipswich Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Model verdict
Fulham are narrow favourites at 44% — this one is far from decided. Fulham arrive with 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats from their last 10. For Crystal Palace it reads 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats over the last 10. At home Fulham have won 3 of their last 5; Crystal Palace have taken 1 of 15 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 2 Fulham wins, 4 draws, 2 for Crystal Palace. The fixture has produced 2.3 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 4 of the last 8. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 48%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Our model's most likely outcome is Fulham win, with probabilities of 44% for a Fulham win, 28% for a draw and 28% for an Crystal Palace win.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Fulham or draw 72%, draw or Crystal Palace 56%, and either side to win 72%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Fulham vs Crystal Palace kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Fulham vs Crystal Palace being played?
The match is scheduled for Craven Cottage, the home ground of Fulham.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.