Evertonvs
Crystal Palace
Our prediction
Everton winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
44% Over · 56% Under
Both teams to score
50% Yes · 50% No
Team comparison
| Everton | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 10th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 20th | Attack rank | 19th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 13th |
| 1529 | Elo | 1525 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
EvertonLLDDL
Crystal PalaceLDLDL
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-10Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton
- 2025-10-05Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
- 2025-02-15Crystal Palace 1–2 Everton
- 2024-09-28Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
- 2024-02-19Everton 1–1 Crystal Palace
Match analysis
A close call: Everton edge it at 42%, with plenty of draw risk at 29%.
Everton arrive with 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Crystal Palace it reads 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 Everton wins, 2 draws, 0 for Crystal Palace.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Our model's most likely outcome is Everton win, with probabilities of 42% for a Everton win, 29% for a draw and 29% for an Crystal Palace win.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Crystal Palace?
The model puts both teams scoring at 50% — more likely than not.
When does Everton vs Crystal Palace kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
