Crystal Palacevs
Man City
Our prediction
Man City winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
52% Over · 48% Under
Both teams to score
55% Yes · 45% No
Team comparison
| Crystal Palace | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Position | 13th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 19th | Attack rank | 1st |
| 13th | Defence rank | 2nd |
| 1525 | Elo | 1765 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDLDL
Man CityLDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-13Man City 3–0 Crystal Palace
- 2025-12-14Crystal Palace 0–3 Man City
- 2025-04-12Man City 5–2 Crystal Palace
- 2024-12-07Crystal Palace 2–2 Man City
- 2024-04-06Crystal Palace 2–4 Man City
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards Man City: 51% on the win.
Crystal Palace arrive with 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Man City it reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Crystal Palace wins, 1 draws, 4 for Man City.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 52%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Man City?
Our model's most likely outcome is Man City win, with probabilities of 23% for a Crystal Palace win, 26% for a draw and 51% for an Man City win.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Man City?
The model puts both teams scoring at 55% — more likely than not.
When does Crystal Palace vs Man City kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-28 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
