Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 27 · Arena Condá
Chapecoense vs Internacional prediction
Best picks
Over 1.5 goals
Chapecoense or Internacional
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins73%
Draw or Internacional64%
Chapecoense or draw64%
Goal lines
Over 1.575%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Under: 1.5 25% · 2.5 50% · 3.5 72%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
No45%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Chapecoense | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Position | 16th |
| 14 | Points | 25 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 19th | Attack rank | 17th |
| 20th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1304 | Elo | 1495 |
| €19m | Squad value | €69m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 3
Recent form · last 10
Chapecoense5 / 30 pts
Internacional7 / 30 pts
- L
Bahia3–2Internacional - DInternacional0–0Mineiro
- DInternacional1–1Clube do Remo
- D
Palmeiras0–0Internacional - DInternacional1–1Flamengo
- L
Paranaense2–0Internacional - LInternacional1–2Cruzeiro
- L
Bragantino3–1Internacional - L
Vitória2–0Internacional - WInternacional4–1Vasco da Gama
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 |  Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 |  Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 |  Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Model verdict
A close call: Internacional edge it at 36%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%. Recent form for Chapecoense: 1 win, 2 draws, 7 defeats across the last 10. Internacional bring 1 win, 4 draws, 5 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 4 for Chapecoense, while Internacional collected 1/15 away points in that stretch. The last 3 head-to-heads: 0 Chapecoense wins, 0 draws, 3 for Internacional. Those meetings averaged 4.0 goals, with both sides scoring in 2 of the 3. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 50%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chapecoense vs Internacional?
Our model's most likely outcome is Internacional win, with probabilities of 36% for a Chapecoense win, 27% for a draw and 36% for an Internacional win.
Will both teams score in Chapecoense vs Internacional?
The model puts both teams scoring at 55% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Chapecoense vs Internacional?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Chapecoense or draw 64%, draw or Internacional 64%, and either side to win 73%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Chapecoense vs Internacional kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-12 · 20:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Chapecoense vs Internacional being played?
The match is scheduled for Arena Condá, the home ground of Chapecoense.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.