Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 26 · Estádio José Pinheiro Borba
Internacional vs Santos prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Internacional or Santos
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Internacional@ 1.91
Model −3 vs market
X Draw@ 3.45
In line with the market
2 Santos@ 3.85
Model +3 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins73%
Internacional or draw73%
Draw or Santos54%
Goal lines
Over 1.573%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.525%
Under: 1.5 27% · 2.5 53% · 3.5 75%
Both teams to score
Yes51%
No49%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Internacional | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 13th |
| 25 | Points | 29 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.4 |
| 17th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 12th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1495 | Elo | 1509 |
| €69m | Squad value | €103m |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Internacional7 / 30 pts
- L
Bahia3–2Internacional - DInternacional0–0Mineiro
- DInternacional1–1Clube do Remo
- D
Palmeiras0–0Internacional - DInternacional1–1Flamengo
- L
Paranaense2–0Internacional - LInternacional1–2Cruzeiro
- L
Bragantino3–1Internacional - L
Vitória2–0Internacional - WInternacional4–1Vasco da Gama
Santos14 / 30 pts
- W
Corinthians0–1Santos - DSantos1–1Mirassol
- WVasco da Gama0–3Santos
- LSantos0–2Paranaense
- DSantos2–2Chapecoense
- L
Botafogo2–1Santos - WSantos3–1Vitória
- L
Grêmio3–2Santos - LSantos0–3Coritiba
- WSantos2–0Bragantino
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Model verdict
A close call: Internacional edge it at 46%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%. Recent form for Internacional: 1 win, 4 draws, 5 defeats across the last 10. Santos bring 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Internacional, while Santos collected 6/12 away points in that stretch. The last 9 head-to-heads: 4 Internacional wins, 5 draws, 0 for Santos. Those meetings averaged 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring in 8 of the 9. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Internacional vs Santos?
Our model's most likely outcome is Internacional win, with probabilities of 46% for a Internacional win, 27% for a draw and 27% for an Santos win.
Will both teams score in Internacional vs Santos?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Internacional vs Santos?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Internacional or draw 73%, draw or Santos 54%, and either side to win 73%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Internacional vs Santos kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Internacional vs Santos being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio José Pinheiro Borba, the home ground of Internacional.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.