Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchday 25 · Neo Química Arena
Corinthians vs Santos prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Corinthians win — the match finished Corinthians 0–1 Santos.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
Corinthians or draw
✗ MissUnder 3.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✓ HitEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Corinthians or draw76%
Either side wins73%
Draw or Santos50%
Goal lines
Over 1.572%
Over 2.546%
Over 3.525%
Under: 1.5 28% · 2.5 54% · 3.5 75%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
No50%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 0–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Corinthians | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Position | 13th |
| 32 | Points | 29 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.4 |
| 18th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 4th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1537 | Elo | 1509 |
| €146m | Squad value | €103m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 5 |
Longer bars are better within the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 9
Recent form · last 10
Corinthians17 / 30 pts
- L
Coritiba2–1Corinthians - LCorinthians1–2Cruzeiro
- W
Bragantino0–2Corinthians - DCorinthians0–0Paranaense
- D
Bahia1–1Corinthians - WCorinthians3–0Clube do Remo
- W
Grêmio1–3Corinthians - WCorinthians1–0Mineiro
- L
Botafogo3–1Corinthians - WCorinthians3–2São Paulo
Santos12 / 30 pts
- DSantos1–1Mirassol
- W
Vasco da Gama0–3Santos - LSantos0–2Paranaense
- DSantos2–2Chapecoense
- LBotafogo2–1Santos
- WSantos3–1Vitória
- LGrêmio3–2Santos
- LSantos0–3Coritiba
- WSantos2–0Bragantino
- D
Palmeiras1–1Santos
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 52 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 35 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 14 |
Pre-match model verdict
Corinthians are narrow favourites at 50% — this one is far from decided. Corinthians arrive with 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10. For Santos it reads 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats over the last 10. At home Corinthians have won 3 of their last 5; Santos have taken 4 of 12 points on their travels. The last 9 head-to-heads: 4 Corinthians wins, 4 draws, 1 for Santos. The fixture has produced 1.6 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 3 of the last 9. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.