How our call did
Our pre-match call was West Brom win — the match finished West Brom 1–1 Charlton.✗ Miss
Pre-match picks, graded
West Brom or draw
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✓ HitBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
West Brom or draw74%
Either side wins70%
Draw or Charlton56%
Goal lines
Over 1.566%
Over 2.539%
Over 3.519%
Under: 1.5 34% · 2.5 61% · 3.5 81%
Both teams to score
Yes45%
No55%
Most likely score
1–1at 14%actual 1–1
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 West Brom | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 3rd |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 1.8 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 23rd |
| 7th | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1506 | Elo | 1480 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 12 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Head-to-head · last 2
Recent form · last 10
West Brom16 / 30 pts
- L
Middlesbrough3–1West Brom - WWest Brom3–1Burnley
- W
Norwich1–2West Brom - L
Sheffield Wednesday FC2–1West Brom - DWest Brom0–0Ipswich Town
- WWest Brom3–0Watford
- W
Preston NE0–2West Brom - DWest Brom0–0Millwall
- D
Blackburn0–0West Brom - DWest Brom2–2Wrexham
Charlton14 / 30 pts
- WCharlton1–0Preston NE
- W
West Ham1–2Charlton - WCharlton2–1Derby County
- L
Swansea3–1Charlton - WCharlton2–1Hull City
- LCharlton1–2Ipswich Town
- DSheffield Wednesday FC1–1Charlton
- LCharlton1–2Preston NE
- DWatford1–1Charlton
- LCharlton1–2Bristol City
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |  QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
A close call: West Brom edge it at 44%, with plenty of draw risk at 30%. West Brom arrive with 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats from their last 10. For Charlton it reads 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats over the last 10. At home West Brom have won 2 of their last 5; Charlton have taken 5 of 12 points on their travels. The draw is live here at 30% — noticeably above the usual rate. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 39%.