Middlesbroughvs
West Brom
Our prediction
Middlesbrough winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
45% Over · 55% Under
Both teams to score
49% Yes · 51% No
Team comparison
| Middlesbrough | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 4th |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 16th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 4th |
| 1587 | Elo | 1496 |
| 11 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
MiddlesbroughWDWWD
West BromWLDWW
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-16West Brom 2–3 Middlesbrough
- 2025-09-19Middlesbrough 2–1 West Brom
- 2025-01-21Middlesbrough 2–0 West Brom
- 2024-10-01West Brom 0–1 Middlesbrough
- 2023-12-23Middlesbrough 1–0 West Brom
Match analysis
The model gives Middlesbrough a slim edge at 49% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Middlesbrough: 3 wins, 2 draws across the last 5.
West Brom bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 5 Middlesbrough wins, 0 draws, 0 for West Brom.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Middlesbrough vs West Brom?
Our model's most likely outcome is Middlesbrough win, with probabilities of 49% for a Middlesbrough win, 27% for a draw and 24% for an West Brom win.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs West Brom?
The model puts both teams scoring at 49% — less likely than not.
When does Middlesbrough vs West Brom kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 11:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
