Championship · Matchday 4 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton prediction result
How our call did
Our pre-match call was Sheffield Utd win — the match finished Sheffield Utd 3–2 Bolton.✓ Hit
Pre-match picks, graded
Sheffield Utd or draw
✓ HitUnder 2.5 goals
✗ MissBTTS: No
✗ MissEach dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Sheffield Utd or draw74%
Either side wins72%
Draw or Bolton54%
Goal lines
Over 1.570%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Under: 1.5 30% · 2.5 57% · 3.5 78%
Both teams to score
Yes49%
No52%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%actual 3–2
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Sheffield Utd | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 16th |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 1.3 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 8th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 9th | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1538 | Elo | 1488 |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Recent form · last 10
Sheffield Utd13 / 30 pts
- D
Cardiff2–2Sheffield Utd - D
Swansea0–0Sheffield Utd - DSheffield Utd0–0Birmingham
- W
Derby County1–2Sheffield Utd - LSheffield Utd2–3Preston NE
- LSheffield Utd1–3Blackburn
- W
Watford0–2Sheffield Utd - WSheffield Utd2–1Hull City
- L
Bristol City1–0Sheffield Utd - DSheffield Utd3–3Swansea
Bolton4 / 9 pts
- LBolton0–1Lincoln City
- D
QPR0–0Bolton - WBolton2–1Preston NE
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 |  West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Pre-match model verdict
The model gives Sheffield Utd a slim edge at 46% in a tight matchup. Recent form for Sheffield Utd: 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Bolton bring 1 win, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 3 on the road to this one. Worth noting the stalemate risk: the model has the draw at 28%. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 43%.