Swanseavs
Sheffield Utd
Our prediction
Swansea winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
47% Over · 53% Under
Both teams to score
53% Yes · 47% No
Team comparison
| Sheffield Utd | ||
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 13th |
| 3 | Points | 1 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 6th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1532 | Elo | 1531 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
SwanseaWWDWL
Sheffield UtdDWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-03Sheffield Utd 3–3 Swansea
- 2025-08-16Swansea 1–0 Sheffield Utd
- 2025-01-21Swansea 1–2 Sheffield Utd
- 2024-10-02Sheffield Utd 1–0 Swansea
- 2023-02-11Sheffield Utd 3–0 Swansea
Match analysis
The model gives Swansea a slim edge at 39% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Swansea: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Sheffield Utd bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Swansea wins, 1 draws, 3 for Sheffield Utd.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model's most likely outcome is Swansea win, with probabilities of 39% for a Swansea win, 28% for a draw and 34% for an Sheffield Utd win.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.
When does Swansea vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.