Championship · Matchday 2 ·

SwanseavsSheffield Utd

Our prediction

Swansea winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

47% Over · 53% Under

Both teams to score

53% Yes · 47% No

Team comparison

Swansea vs Sheffield Utd: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
SwanseaSheffield Utd
6thPosition13th
3Points1
2.0Goals / game0.0
14thAttack rank6th
11thDefence rank7th
1532Elo1531
10Form pts (last 5)7

Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-03Sheffield Utd 33 Swansea
  • 2025-08-16Swansea 10 Sheffield Utd
  • 2025-01-21Swansea 12 Sheffield Utd
  • 2024-10-02Sheffield Utd 10 Swansea
  • 2023-02-11Sheffield Utd 30 Swansea

Match analysis

The model gives Swansea a slim edge at 39% in a tight matchup.

Recent form for Swansea: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat across the last 5.

Sheffield Utd bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Swansea wins, 1 draws, 3 for Sheffield Utd.

The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?

Our model's most likely outcome is Swansea win, with probabilities of 39% for a Swansea win, 28% for a draw and 34% for an Sheffield Utd win.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?

The model puts both teams scoring at 53% — more likely than not.

When does Swansea vs Sheffield Utd kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.