QPRvs
Bolton
Our prediction
QPR winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
56% Yes · 44% No
Team comparison
| QPR | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 3rd |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 3.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 24th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1474 | Elo | 1507 |
| 3 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Match analysis
A close call: QPR edge it at 39%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%.
QPR arrive with 1 win, 4 defeats from their last 5.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win QPR vs Bolton?
Our model's most likely outcome is QPR win, with probabilities of 39% for a QPR win, 27% for a draw and 35% for an Bolton win.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Bolton?
The model puts both teams scoring at 56% — more likely than not.
When does QPR vs Bolton kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 14:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
