Serie A · Matchday 3 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone vs Venezia FC prediction
Best picks
Frosinone or draw
Under 2.5 goals
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Frosinone@ 2.70
Model +13 vs market
X Draw@ 3.25
Model −2 vs market
2 Venezia FC@ 2.50
Model −11 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Frosinone or draw74%
Either side wins74%
Draw or Venezia FC52%
Goal lines
Over 1.569%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Under: 1.5 31% · 2.5 57% · 3.5 78%
Both teams to score
Yes47%
No53%
Most likely score
1–0at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Frosinone | Venezia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 19th |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 18th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 18th |
| 1452 | Elo | 1353 |
| €31m | Squad value | €40m |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Recent form · last 10
Frosinone13 / 30 pts
Serie A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 |  Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Model verdict
The model gives Frosinone a slim edge at 48% in a tight matchup. Recent form for Frosinone: 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Venezia FC bring 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Frosinone, while Venezia FC collected 3/15 away points in that stretch. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 43%. Our 48% on Frosinone sits above the market's implied 34% — a gap worth understanding before trusting either number.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Frosinone vs Venezia FC?
Our model's most likely outcome is Frosinone win, with probabilities of 48% for a Frosinone win, 26% for a draw and 26% for an Venezia FC win.
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Venezia FC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 47% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia FC?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Frosinone or draw 74%, draw or Venezia FC 52%, and either side to win 74%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Frosinone vs Venezia FC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 13:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Frosinone vs Venezia FC being played?
The match is scheduled for Stadio Benito Stirpe, the home ground of Frosinone.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.