Milanvs
Venezia FC
Our prediction
Milan winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
46% Over · 54% Under
Both teams to score
48% Yes · 52% No
Team comparison
| Milan | Venezia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 11th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 7th | Attack rank | 17th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 15th |
| 1638 | Elo | 1371 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
MilanLWLLD
Venezia FCLLWDL
Head-to-head
- 2025-04-27Venezia FC 0–2 Milan
- 2024-09-14Milan 4–0 Venezia FC
- 2022-01-09Venezia FC 0–3 Milan
- 2021-09-22Milan 2–0 Venezia FC
Match analysis
Milan go in as the model's favourite with a 53% win probability.
Milan arrive with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5.
For Venezia FC it reads 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats over the last 5.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 4 Milan wins, 0 draws, 0 for Venezia FC.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 46%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Milan vs Venezia FC?
Our model's most likely outcome is Milan win, with probabilities of 53% for a Milan win, 25% for a draw and 22% for an Venezia FC win.
Will both teams score in Milan vs Venezia FC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
When does Milan vs Venezia FC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-28 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
