Fiorentinavs
Frosinone
Our prediction
Fiorentina winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
47% Over · 53% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Fiorentina | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Position | 9th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 9th | Attack rank | 12th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 16th |
| 1558 | Elo | 1432 |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
FiorentinaDWDLD
FrosinoneLWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2024-02-11Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone
- 2023-09-28Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina
Match analysis
The model gives Fiorentina a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Fiorentina: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Frosinone bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 47%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our model's most likely outcome is Fiorentina win, with probabilities of 45% for a Fiorentina win, 27% for a draw and 29% for an Frosinone win.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Fiorentina vs Frosinone kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 16:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
