Serie A · Matchday 3 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina vs Torino prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Fiorentina or Torino
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Fiorentina@ 1.91
Model −6 vs market
X Draw@ 3.30
Model −3 vs market
2 Torino@ 4.25
Model +8 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins74%
Fiorentina or draw70%
Draw or Torino56%
Goal lines
Over 1.573%
Over 2.548%
Over 3.526%
Under: 1.5 27% · 2.5 53% · 3.5 74%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Fiorentina | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 14th |
| 14th | Defence rank | 19th |
| 1523 | Elo | 1476 |
| €224m | Squad value | €141m |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 4 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Fiorentina13 / 30 pts
Serie A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 |  Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 |  Venezia FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Model verdict
Fiorentina are narrow favourites at 44% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Fiorentina: 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Torino bring 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 5 for Fiorentina, while Torino collected 4/15 away points in that stretch. The last 10 head-to-heads: 3 Fiorentina wins, 5 draws, 2 for Torino. Those meetings averaged 1.8 goals, with both sides scoring in 4 of the 10. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 48%. Our 44% on Fiorentina sits below the market's implied 49% — a gap worth understanding before trusting either number.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?
Our model's most likely outcome is Fiorentina win, with probabilities of 44% for a Fiorentina win, 26% for a draw and 30% for an Torino win.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Torino?
The model puts both teams scoring at 52% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Fiorentina vs Torino?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Fiorentina or draw 70%, draw or Torino 56%, and either side to win 74%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Fiorentina vs Torino kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 13:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Fiorentina vs Torino being played?
The match is scheduled for Stadio Artemio Franchi, the home ground of Fiorentina.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.